St. John the Baptist Parish↗ET spent the post-COVID years above its 2019 attendance baseline. COVID-era disruption pushed its chronic absenteeism rate from 16.2% in 2019 to 24.5% in 2021. The rate edged down to 23.7% in 2022, then climbed to 26.0% in 2023 and 28.0% in 2024. More than one in four students was chronically absent, and the two-year trajectory from 2022 to 2024 suggested attendance was getting worse again.
Then came 2025: 19.4%. An 8.6 percentage point drop in a single year.
The scale of the turnaround
The 8.6-point improvement ranked 13th among all 163 Louisiana district entities in the state data and third among the state's 64 traditional parish districts, behind Tensas Parish (-11.1 points) and Catahoula Parish (-8.8 points). The broader district list includes non-parish entities, so the traditional-parish ranking is the cleaner comparison for a parish system.

The parish reversed the 2022-to-2024 deterioration in a single year, dropping from 28.0% to 19.4%. It now sits 3.2 percentage points above its pre-COVID rate of 16.2%, still above baseline but closer than it has been at any point since 2021.
Among the biggest turnarounds statewide
Among the 10 traditional parish districts that posted the largest improvements in 2025, St. John was one of two districts above 5,000 students. Tangipahoa Parish, at 19,196 students, was the other.

The other leading traditional-parish improvers included Tensas (-11.1), Catahoula (-8.8), Tangipahoa (-7.2), Iberville (-7.0), Natchitoches (-6.8), and West Baton Rouge (-5.7). St. John's improvement at this scale, in a district with 5,085 students in 2025, is equivalent to roughly 437 students using enrollment as a proxy denominator.
A River Parish hurricane story
The St. John school district describes the parish as part of the River Parishes along the Mississippi River between New Orleans and Baton Rouge. Hurricane Ida made landfall in southeast Louisiana on August 29, 2021, and St. John Parish later maintained Ida recovery resources covering sheltering, long-term recovery, home repairs, and utility reconnection. That is suggestive context for the attendance trend, not direct evidence of causation.
The parish's chronic absenteeism trajectory after Ida is consistent with a slower attendance recovery. It improved only 0.8 points from 2021 to 2022 (24.5% to 23.7%), while 57 of 64 traditional parish districts improved and the median improvement was 9.35 points. Then St. John worsened to 26.0% in 2023 and 28.0% in 2024.
Compared with selected Ida-affected and River Parish peers, St. John's 2025 improvement was the largest. Terrebonne Parish improved from 29.4% to 26.7%. Plaquemines dropped from 24.5% to 19.6%. St. Charles continued its recovery to 7.7%.

What remains
At 19.4%, St. John the Baptist is still above its 2019 rate, but the 3.2-point gap above pre-COVID is the smallest it has been since 2021.
Two years of worsening after a slight 2022 improvement, followed by a sharp reversal, could be a genuine turning point or a statistical bounce. The data alone can't say which.
Competing explanations remain: families settling after Ida-related disruption, district attendance work taking hold, or 2024 having been an unusually high year. Louisiana's state data can confirm the size and rank of the 2025 turnaround; it cannot choose among those mechanisms. At 19.4%, the parish is closer to its pre-COVID rate than it has been since the storm.
Detailed code that reproduces the analysis and figures in this article is available exclusively to EdTribune subscribers.
Discussion
Sign in to join the discussion.
Loading comments...